A football betting system wins 10 from 11 bets in January, 9 from 11 bets in February, 3 from 12 bets in March and 2 from 14 in April. All up it wins 24 from 48 bets over the 4 months. However the system is marketed using only the results for January and February, and thus the seller can claim 19 winners from 22 picks.
Armed with this knowledge, you should demand that a system be provided with at least 2 years results. However even systems with 2 years of winning picks fail one they hit the market. The reason for this is simple – what was once a closely guarded secret is now out in the open, being used by hundred, if not thousands of bettors. Any value that existed before publication, has disappeared.
However there is a type of football truc tiep bong đá system that can make you a profit. This football betting system has been highly researched, and hidden trends found that can be exploited. However the creator realises that if this is released to the public, it will soon stop making a profit.
So instead of selling the system to thousands, the picks highlighted by the system are made accessible to a small group of people. These systems can be hard to find, and the groups that use them can be hard to break into. However they are they only way you will make a profit from football betting systems.
However in the rush to get their money on, most people overlook this important aspect of football betting. So what is money management? Let’s look at it in simple terms: You are betting on two football matches. You know that one will produce a profit 80% of the time and the other has a 50-50 chance of winning. You would want to put more money on the match with an 80% chance of profit wouldn’t you? That is money management.
It is basically managing your money to cope with risk. So logic says that on the risky bets, you should risk less money and on the bets that are stronger, you need to stake more money. This may seem like common sense to you, but it is often overlooked.
Now the next question is: How do we calculate how much to put on a team? The most common method is to use the same amount (level stake) on each selection. While this can work in the long run, in the short term you have to watch out for long sequences of losers from the bigger priced football tips. Four or five losers in a row can quickly deplete your bank. Therefore it may be better to look for a different approach.
Another approach suggested by many is the Kelly Criterion. However, Kelly requires you to know the probability of a win. The bet size is then determined by first converting the price on offer into a probability. You then have to estimate the probability of your bet winning. The difference between the sports book’s price probability and your probability has to be positive. If it is negative, you should drop this football tip like a ton of bricks and move on to the next match. The size of the bet is then calculated using this difference in probability. A larger difference would suggest a larger investment and a small difference would suggest a small investment.